Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.140076 0.159228 0.180414 0.205650 0.234975 0.268073 0.308396
2026-02-01 0.108381 0.133565 0.164105 0.204143 0.255655 0.320249 0.408237
2026-02-08 0.089297 0.116616 0.152026 0.201859 0.271102 0.365273 0.505394
2026-02-15 0.076253 0.104209 0.142403 0.199301 0.283473 0.405918 0.602235
2026-02-22 0.068656 0.097581 0.138948 0.203737 0.305099 0.461820 0.730991
2026-03-01 0.060820 0.089313 0.131651 0.200833 0.314380 0.499474 0.837248
2026-03-08 0.055184 0.083470 0.126991 0.200936 0.327829 0.545224 0.965564
2026-03-15 0.050461 0.078393 0.122749 0.200853 0.340514 0.591164 1.103088
2026-03-22 0.047322 0.075428 0.121443 0.205333 0.361529 0.655083 1.288579
2026-03-29 0.044329 0.072335 0.119491 0.208271 0.379933 0.716900 1.483386
2026-04-05 0.041631 0.069432 0.117485 0.210735 0.397618 0.780074 1.695588
2026-04-12 0.039570 0.067407 0.116763 0.215426 0.420280 0.857300 1.958737
2026-04-19 0.037047 0.064361 0.113953 0.215886 0.434731 0.920477 2.207153
2026-04-26 0.034661 0.061346 0.110897 0.215490 0.447391 0.982297 2.470089
2026-05-03 0.032311 0.058172 0.107201 0.213276 0.455644 1.035330 2.724477
2026-05-10 0.030152 0.055162 0.103513 0.210591 0.462361 1.085855 2.986582
2026-05-17 0.028972 0.053940 0.103256 0.215321 0.487339 1.187758 3.435091
2026-05-24 0.027130 0.051242 0.099713 0.212230 0.492676 1.238800 3.738981
2026-05-31 0.025748 0.049353 0.097675 0.212341 0.506128 1.314996 4.152909
2026-06-07 0.024464 0.047557 0.095659 0.212252 0.519065 1.392552 4.599460
2026-06-14 0.023676 0.046729 0.095658 0.217022 0.545851 1.517178 5.268197
2026-06-21 0.022811 0.045664 0.095027 0.220151 0.568663 1.634989 5.958744
2026-06-28 0.021966 0.044573 0.094235 0.222776 0.590534 1.755125 6.710762